Entsimini

Kungakho ilahleko yemisebenzi eyi40 000 ngenxa yerhafu yaseMelika

Nicola Mawson|Published

Ezolimo lelona candelo lisemngciphekweni, itsho iSARB.

Image: THOMAS HOLDER

IBhanki enguVimba yoMzantsi Afrika (SARB) ithi irhafu yaseMelika kwimveliso yezolimo eMzantsi Afrika ingamosha ingqesho ezilalini kwaye ichaphazele ukukhula koqoqosho.

Kwingxelo yeDwarha 2025 yeMonetary Policy Review, ibhanki enguvimba ithe nangona ezolimo zenza i4.2% kuphela yempahla ethunyelwa nguMzantsi Afrika eMelika, eli candelo “lichaneke ngokupheleleyo” yi30% yerhafu etsalwa ngoku.

Iimveliso zeorenji, iswekile kunye newayini ziphakathi kwezona mveliso zichaphazelekileyo.

"Ukulahlekelwa yimisebenzi kunye nemivuzo kunokutshabalalisa uluntu lwasemaphandleni," itshilo ibhanki kwingxelo, yongeza ngelithi ingqesho ingehla ngenani lemisebenzi engamashumi amane amawaka (40 000) xa kuthelekiswa nemeko esisiseko.

Olunye uqikelelo lubeka ilahleko yemisebenzi enokubakho eqikelelwa kwi22 000 kuqoqosho lonke – ngokwaneleyo ukutyhala inani labantu abangaphangeliyo lilonke lisondele kwizigidi ezilithoba.

Iimodeli zeSARB zithi irhafu inokuthoba uhlumo loqoqosho loMzantsi Afrika ngo2026 ngomyinge we0.4%.

Utshintsho kurhwebo lusenokunika isiqabu esilinganiselweyo, kodwa ukhuphiswano olubuthathaka kunye nokukhula okucothayo kuqoqosho lwamazwe amakhulu kuthetha ukuba uMzantsi Afrika ujongene “namathuba anciphileyo” okunciphisa isibetho.

Irhafu yaqala ukutsalwa nge7 kweyeThupha emva kokuba uMzantsi Afrika usilele ukwenza isivumelwano esitsha sorhwebo kunye neWashington.

Ukwehliswa kwemfuno yaseMelika nako kunokucinezela amaxabiso eemveliso zehlabathi kwaye kuphazamise ngakumbi amakhonkco obonelelo, nto leyo enyusa umonakalo.

Uqoqosho lukhule nge0.8% kwikota yesibini ka2025, uninzi loqikelelo lubeka ukukhula konyaka opheleleyo malunga ne1%, ngokuhambelana noqikelelo lweNgxowa-mali yeHlabathi (IMF).

I-IMF iqikelela ukuba ukukhula kuya kunyuka kuye kwi1.2% ngo2026, kodwa uAnnabel Bishop, ingcali yezoqoqosho eInvestec, uqikelela i1.5%, encediswa ngumba ohlayo wokuthuthwa kweempahla kwihlabathi jikelele.

Kusenjalo, uMphathi weSARB, uLesetja Kganyago, uye waligcina limisiwe izinga lokubolekisa ngemali, nto leyo ebeka eli zinga lokuboleka imali kwi10.5%.

Iinzame zebhanki zokunciphisa ukunyuka kwexabiso lwezinto ukusuka kwipesenti yangoku ye3% ukuya kwi6% ukuya kwi3% bezikhankanywe nguKganyago, owame ngelithi ukwenza njalo kuya kukhuthaza "ukuhluma koqoqosho oluzinzileyo kunye neendleko eziphantsi zokuboleka."